Can Trump Beat Hillary?

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Beat Hillary

If you believe the polls, GOP frontrunner Donald Trump will lose to Hillary Clinton in the general election.

Polls by NBC, ABC, CNN, Fox News, and Rasmussen all have Hillary winning in the general by five to 13 points.

Only a poll conducted in February by USA Today shows Trump with a slim lead of two points over the former First Lady.

Again . . . if you believe the polls.

In this unusual election cycle, voter turnout for the GOP is 60% higher than in 2008 and a whopping 165% higher than 2004.

Turnout by Republicans has not been higher than Democrat turnout in a presidential year for a non-incumbent since 2000. And then, turnout was only 10.5% in the primary.

Voter turnout is a measurement of enthusiasm for the candidates. In 2008, Barack Obama was able to get 19.5% of Democrats to vote in the primary. If you recall, enthusiasm was through the roof for Obama.

Another comparison to offer was 2008 polling results. In March of 2008, Obama was leading John McCain by 4%. Obama won the election by 7%.

McCain, an establishment candidate that failed to energize American voters was competing against the wunderkind politician in Barack Obama.

Today, in 2016, we have the opposite scenario. Trump, a deeply polarizing figure will be competing against an establishment candidate who is as equally polarizing for those right-of-center voters.

While both Democrats and Republicans want to oust any candidate tied to the Establishment – which is a plus for Donald Trump – the Democratic Party still has the minority base in its left pocket.

For someone on “the right” it is unimaginable that America would be THAT dumb to elect Hillary Clinton. However, the possibility of another “President Clinton” is very real in the event Hillary succeeds in mobilizing the minority voting base . . . which is very likely.

Morgan Mayhew
Morgan is a freelance writer for a variety of publications covering popular culture, societal behavior and the political influences of each.