Wednesday, December 7, 2016

Iowa

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Voting Machines

When the DNC emails were released proving that they conspired to knock Bernie out of the race, it was proof they would say anything to help Hillary win, but would Hillary and her supporters do anything they could to win?

Like rigging an election?

Donald Trump thinks she cheated, but he says a lot of crazy stuff right? Well, we are not taking his words for it, but instead looking at the dozens of lawsuits and claims that the voting machines were rigged in several states to make sure that Hillary won.

In Iowa, during the caucus, the first vote had sanders with 215 votes and Clinton with 210. After a second count, by people wearing Hillary for president shirts, the totals were a little different. Hillary had 232 and Sanders had 224.

Something doesn’t add up right, here is a video showing the influence of the Hillary team to make sure that Hillary won.

The caucuses are easier to rig than a primary because they only needed to add a few votes to give Hillary the win.

In other states, where voting machines were used, a troubling discovery shows that Hillary does best on the machines that flunk the hacking tests.

In the states with the hackable machines, Hillary missed her exit poll projections and missed big. In South Carolina exit polls had her winning by 37% but ended up winning by 47.5%. That is a large 11.5% mistake. How did that happen?

It happened in many states that had the voting machines that failed the hacking test, and the exit numbers never went backwards for Hillary. She always ended up with a lot more than what people were saying.

Polling isn’t always correct right? True, but the exit polling for the Republicans taken on the same day, by the same people were dead on in all states. Only the numbers for Hillary were inflated from exit polling.

In Alabama there were three counties that had the hackable machines and Hillary did extremely well in those, but in similar counties with similar demographics, the numbers between Hillary and Bernie were much closer.

If you want more details in a humorous fashion, you should watch this video as comedian Lee Camp shows how Bernie actually won the election.

It has not been proven that the machines were actually hacked in favor of Clinton, but all indicators point to fraud.

The real question is, if she did rig the election, can she do the same for the general election?

Donald Trump thinks so, and for once we tend to agree.

Do you think Hillary cheated and rigged the voting machines? Let us know in the comments below.

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Iowa

When Punxsutawney Phil, Pennsylvania’s famous winter-prognosticating groundhog, emerged from his stump yesterday and decided it was safe to stay outside, he must have first checked the results of Iowa’s caucuses. Much like Phil’s weather-predicting track record, the Iowa caucuses have not always been the most reliable predictor of the future. Not since George W. Bush have the first-in-the-nation voters picked the candidate who would eventually become the GOP’s nominee.

Notwithstanding the Iowa caucuses’ poor track record at predicting political winners, they do provide some reliable and relevant analysis for candidates in both parties:

It’s always good to win, and Ted Cruz won. Iowans may not be good at accurately predicting eventual winners, but it never hurts to win the first heat. There is no underselling the value of a solid ground game when it comes to campaigns; especially in a caucus state like Iowa. This proved to be Cruz’s strongest advantage over his competitors — out-working them on the ground and out-teching them behind the scenes with advanced data modeling. Moreover, Cruz maintained a winning support base even after a month of relentless attacks from Donald Trump and the media. The capacity to absorb body blows is crucial for any candidate to win the general election; especially this year, when the GOP nominee likely will face a Clinton machine specializing in brutal personal attacks. Cruz has now proven he can take it on the chin from Trump, the media and 10 other candidates, and still win by an impressive margin in a crowded field. This positions him well to emerge victorious from the primaries and the national campaign to follow.

It’s never good to lose, and Trump lost. Listening to Trump prattle on and on about all the polls in which he was ahead in the days leading to the caucuses, and it would be easy to conclude it was impossible for him to lose. But he did. Moreover, his second-place finish was closer to third than first; a clear sign that Trump is more vulnerable than his incessant blustering about how great he is makes him seem. As noted by electoral statistician Nate Silver, the gap between Trump’s high pre-caucus polling numbers and his actual support illustrates that the extent of the candidate’s support is more mirage than reality. While the 25 percent support he enjoys may be intense, it likely is not sufficient to carry him to the nomination, much less a victory in the general election.

Jeb should be truly and deeply embarrassed. What can $2,884 buy you? If you are Jeb Bush, it gets you a single caucus vote. If there is any argument as to why the Left’s criticism of Citizens United is utterly baseless, it is Jeb’s pathetic showing in Iowa even though he crushed his opponents in PAC money. Just as Iowa voters rejected Trump’s populist-masked authoritarianism, so too did they soundly and humiliatingly spurn Jeb as an unwelcomed representative of the Establishment. He needs to salvage what may be left of the “Bush” name, and bow out.

Sorry, Marco — third place is not a “win.” Marco Rubio’s solid showing in the Iowa caucuses, nearly besting Trump for second place, was a surprise. However, for him to claim he “won” by coming in third harks back to the infamous Howard Dean moment of 2004. The GOP Establishment may be warming to him as its Last Man Standing, and he did better than several other candidates, but a third place Iowa showing is not a ticket to the Winner’s Circle.

Hillary’s showing reveals her glass jaw. Hillary may have eeked out a win in the Iowa caucus, and she still will likely secure her party’s nomination, but her victory should be taken with a grain of salt. She did not win because she is a good campaigner (she is not) or because people like her (they do not), but because the Democratic Party’s leadership and money remains firmly within her control. One component of this power stems from the Clintons’ position as the elite of Washington elite; but perhaps even more significantly, it is because Democrats realize it is too late to choose someone else. The only way this changes would be if – in a Bizarro World twist where Obama’s Department of Justice for once holds a corrupt government official accountable and actually indicts Hillary — Democrats turn to Uncle Joe Biden in a last-ditch effort to save them from disaster.

It is time to take Sanders’ “New Socialism” seriously. While the reality of a President Bernie Sanders is as distant as the planetoid Pluto, the support he enjoys is very real; especially among millennials. When Sanders’ campaign ends (as it will), the socialist grassroots movement that has rocketed him up the polls and stuffed his coffers with donations, will not die but rather find new outlets to strengthen and wield its influence. The threat of socialism and this “progressive” ideology to treasured American values such as free markets and individual liberty is real, and it is significant. That Sanders has not only survived but thrived this campaign cycle, reveals a fissure in the bedrock of the American political system that is frightening; and one that had best be taken seriously and confronted.

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Carson

Last night on CNN, an “Election Alert” blared across the screen.

Just as Iowa voters were beginning to caucus, the host frantically told views that Ben Carson was “taking a break” and heading down to Florida. The candidate would skip the New Hampshire primary.

Very, very odd.

As it turns out, the neurosurgeon was heading home to get a “fresh set of clothes.”

Still wacky as ever.

Here’s the official line from his campaign:

But Ted Cruz’s camp didn’t hesitate to take advantage of the caucus night gaffe and sent troops into caucus sites to tell voters that Ben Carson had suspended his campaign. Carson was not too happy about it. The candidate told Fox News, “At many of the precincts, the information was disseminated that I was suspending my campaign, that I had dropped out. And anybody who was planning to vote for me was wasting their vote and therefore they should reconsider. “If he didn’t know about this, he needs to get rid of the people who were responsible for that,” Carson said. “And if he did know about it, then he needs to — he needs to come out and admit what he did and try to offer a solution.” The anti-establishment candidate, Carson, was correct about what Cruz had done as one of Cruz’s Iowa organizers left evidence behind:

Ben Carson finished fourth with only 9.3% of the vote, although he outperformed the polls that had him at 8%.

Does Cruz owe Carson an apology or was this a case of caucus night confusion?

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vote

It’s January, getting chilly and the presidential election is getting into full swing.

In a mere 15 days, Iowa will hold its caucus to get the GOP nomination in full swing.

If you were to vote today, who would you support?

If you were to vote today, who would you support?

View Results

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donald trump

Despite consistently polling above 30% in national polls, business mogul Donald Trump’s run for the Republican presidential nomination appears to be doomed.

According to top political insiders familiar with the inner workings of the campaign, the polls are a shell that has created a façade of optimism for Trump supporters and has kept the billionaire candidate far from reality about his real chances.

“Trump has kept himself in a self-imposed bubble surrounded by ‘yes’ men,” lamented the source who requested anonymity.

While media mentions and coverage are good for campaigns, ground efforts, data and the mechanics of running a national campaign carry equal weight.

Trump, advised by his inexperienced campaign manager, Corey Lewandowski, has paid little to no attention to getting registered voters to show up at the polls.

The result of the inaction is on display at local gatherings of Trump supporters where it was disclosed that less than 10% of supporters are even registered to vote.

Those numbers should jolt a well-run campaign into panic mode, but the leader of Trump’s run, Lewandowski, appears to spend more time self-promoting and attacking on Twitter than he does managing the many moving parts of the organization.

“A campaign manager’s role is not to travel around with the candidate, tweeting and downing Red Bull’s,” stated the source, “They manage staff, crunch cast amounts of numbers each day and deploy strategies and techniques to garner more votes.”

Trump appears to have surrounded himself by types that reflect his demeanor but lack the experience and gravitas to boldly advise the candidate on the right actions to take and deploy them.

The Iowa Caucus is just a few weeks away and with Cruz gaining in the polls due to a hard fought ground game, Trump is unlikely to win the state or New Hampshire.

Unless Trump gets serious with his campaign and staff, after the South Carolina primary, Trump will be out of the running.

The candidate’s in-the-know supporters feel it’s time for Trump to drop his line on Lewandowski and bellow, “you’re fired!”

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lonely-hillary

This might be one of the saddest campaign events of all time: Hillary Clinton’s campaign hosted a “watch party” event in Marshalltown, Iowa, and only five people showed up.

The event was meant to gather Hillary supporters together, so they could watch her “official” campaign launch on TV.

The official launch itself was hosted on Roosevelt Island in New York City, and curiously came more than two months she started her campaign.

After the disastrous event in Iowa, media pundits are in full-blown panic: what happens if the American people just really don’t care about their annointed candidate, Hillary Clinton?

Even CNN, which like most of the mainstream media has been awfully friendly to Hillary so far in the election cycle, is starting to see the writing on the wall.

CNN reporter Fredricka Whitfield called the event “pitiful,” and, through laughter, joked that the event was “not really looking very exciting.”

And another CNN reporter, Jeff Zeleny–who covered the event itself–wondered if this isn’t the beginning of trouble for the Democrats.

“The real question here, is the enthusiasm going to be out there for Democrats. I’m at a watch party here and Iowa, and only six people, which includes one staffer, were actually at it…”

Democrats have every reason to worry.

For a candidate that’s essentially running for her party’s nomination unchallenged, it’s not a good sign that she inspires such little enthusiasm from voters–especially in Iowa, which is arguably the most important state of the presidential primaries.

With no realistic alternatives to Hillary for the Democratic nomination, it’s very likely that she’ll be on the ballot next November.
But, with a strong and deep Republican bench running for President, it’s highly likely that she’ll face a tough challenger. If she can’t energize the Democratic base like Barack Obama did in 2008 and 2012–but if her Republican challenger can energize the GOP’s base–she’s in big trouble.

Of course, one event is just one event. But if it’s indicative of a larger problem with her enthusiasm gap, Hillary has an uphill path to the White House. It’s going to take more than 5 votes to get her there.

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clinton-meetings

Hillary Clinton launched her presidential campaign this weekend–and announced that she’d be making a road trip in her $60,000 “Scooby van” across Iowa.

Allegedly, she wants to meet “regular Iowans.” But that’s not exactly what she’s doing.

Hillary met with three residents of Davenport, Iowa, at a coffee shop. It was billed by her campaign as an impromptu meeting with these alleged “regular Iowans.” Except it was completely staged.

In fact, the three people at the table were hand-selected from a nearby city, and driven to the coffee shop by Hillary’s Iowa political director.

More damningly, one of the men is named Austin Bird–a leader in the Iowa Democratic Party who formerly drove Joe Biden’s limousine, who aspires to be a Washington, D.C. lobbyist.

It remains to be seen how many of Hillary’s other appearances in Iowa have been staged, but it certainly isn’t helping her reputation as a cold, out-of-touch political operative among actual “regular Iowans”–who don’t have the Democratic Party connections and credentials to meet the former Secretary of State.

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